Astral Codex Ten

NASDAQ

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NASDAQ

Article

NASDAQ is a recurring organization in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 3 times across 3 issues between October 10, 2024 and February 27, 2025. The archive places it in contexts such as “on a day when the NASDAQ as a whole also went up about 0.5%”; “The NASDAQ has almost doubled in the past two years”; “there are stock indexes like NASDAQ or Shanghai Composite to easily track questions”. It most often appears alongside Elon Musk, X, AGI.

Metadata

  • Category: Organizations
  • Mention count: 3
  • Issue count: 3
  • First seen: October 10, 2024
  • Last seen: February 27, 2025

Appears In

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

SB 1047: Our Side Of The Story
October 10, 2024 · Original source
You can’t see it in the screenshot, but the first stock is NVIDIA, the second TSMC, the third Alphabet, and the fourth Microsoft. On average they went up about 0.5%, on a day when the NASDAQ as a whole also went up about 0.5%.
Should we have expected a single California law to have an effect visible in the markets? According to Daniel and @GroundHogStrat , past history says yes: when California passed a proposition backing down from their attempt to crack down on Uber over gig workers, Uber’s stock went up 35%. If SB 1047 was going to be as bad for AI as the anti-gig-worker rules were for Uber, we would expect a similar jump. Even if the bill would be fine for incumbents but only hurt small startups, we would have expected a hit for NVIDIA, who sells chips to those small startups. But NVIDIA went up less than the NASDAQ overall.
Inline links: @GroundHogStrat
Links For January 2025
January 17, 2025 · Original source
35: The NASDAQ has almost doubled in the past two years, so how come it doesn’t feel like we’re in an amazing tech boom? Maybe because it crashed before that and is just making up lost ground? But any way you slice it, it’s doubled in the last four.
Inline links: has almost doubled in the past two years
Links For February 2025
February 27, 2025 · Original source
43: Just as there are stock indexes like NASDAQ or Shanghai Composite to easily track questions like “how is tech doing?” or “how is China doing?”, Metaculus is experimenting with prediction market indices. I’m skeptical of their flagship example - “how ready are we for AGI?” - which seems to be a weird mishmash of questions about how good AI capabilities are, how well technical alignment is going, and stuff like UBI. Split between recommending better curation vs. worse curation (eg something more like NASDAQ that includes so many thousands of stocks that it can’t help but track underlying trends).
Inline links: experimenting with prediction market indices, “how ready are we for AGI?”