Astral Codex Ten

Grace

3 min read

Grace

Article

Grace is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between July 30, 2021 and April 20, 2022. The archive places it in contexts such as ""In 2016-2017, Grace et al surveyed 1634 experts""; “Every poet and musician and artist, but for Grace, is drawn away from love of the thing he tells”. It most often appears alongside A.E. Waite, Adlerian psychology, AI safety and governance.

Metadata

  • Category: People
  • Mention count: 2
  • Issue count: 2
  • First seen: July 30, 2021
  • Last seen: April 20, 2022

Appears In

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

Updated Look At Long-Term AI Risks
July 30, 2021 · Original source
Starting from the beginning: in 2012-2014, Muller and Bostrom surveyed 550 people with various levels of claim to the title "AI expert" on the future of AI. People in philosophy of AI or other very speculative fields gave numbers around 20% chance of AI causing an "existential catastrophe" (eg human extinction); people in normal technical AI research gave numbers around 7%. In 2016-2017, Grace et al surveyed 1634 experts, 5% of whom predicted an extremely catastrophic outcome. Both of these surveys were vulnerable to response bias (eg the least speculative-minded people might think the whole issue was stupid and not even return the survey).
Inline links: Muller and Bostrom, Grace et al
Highlights From The Comments On "Sadly, Porn"
April 20, 2022 · Original source
"Every poet and musician and artist, but for Grace, is drawn away from love of the thing he tells, to love of the telling till, down in Deep Hell, they cannot be interested in God at all but only in what they say about Him. For it doesn't stop at being interested in paint, you know. They sink lower—become interested in their own personalities and then in nothing but their own reputations."