Jonathan Mann

Article

Jonathan Mann is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between June 26, 2023 and March 05, 2024. The archive places it in contexts such as “Plus superforecaster Jonathan Mann on whether AI will take tech jobs”; “Extra thanks to Jonathan Mann for willingly submitting to testing”. It most often appears alongside @wc1766, Adam, Adam Unikowsky.

Metadata

• Category: People
• Mention count: 2
• Issue count: 2
• First seen: June 26, 2023
• Last seen: March 05, 2024

Appears In

• “Through A Glass Darkly” In Asterisk Magazine
• Who Predicted 2023?

Related Pages

• • @wc1766 (1 shared issues)
• • Adam (1 shared issues)
• • Adam Unikowsky (1 shared issues)
• • Alignment Research Center (1 shared issues)
• • Andrey S (1 shared issues)
• • Asterisk (1 shared issues)
• • Asterisk (1 shared issues)
• • Avital Balwit (1 shared issues)
• • Beth Barnes (1 shared issues)
• • Bitcoin (1 shared issues)
• • Blind Mode (1 shared issues)
• • Blind Mode (1 shared issues)

External Links

• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221104130431/https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/1m-bet-rules
• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221129133112/https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaim-accepts-500000-challenge-on-covid-vaccine-safety-efficacy/
• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221224061743/https://www.skirsch.com/covid/SaarWilf.pdf
• • https://archive.ph/pY4gF#selection-663.103-683.190
• • https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Stk3XS_cbQpFdjo4LYdcwMqWxbCF4b5pcROBn8JcR9Q/edit
• • https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/06/10/book-review-the-prices-are-too-dmn-high/
• • https://web.archive.org/web/20230104080248/https://www.rootclaim.com/
• • https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/details-that-you-should-include-in/comment/61387082
• • https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/27/business/media/heather-cox-richardson-substack-boston-college.html

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

"Through A Glass Darkly" In Asterisk Magazine

June 26, 2023 · Original source

Plus superforecaster Jonathan Mann on whether AI will take tech jobs, Kelsey Piper on the different camps within AI safety, Michael Gordin on how long until Armageddon (surprisingly not AI related!), Robert Long on what the history of debating animal intelligence tells us about AI intelligence, Avital Balwit on the technical aspects of regulating AI compute, Carl Robichaud on how we (sort of) succeeded at nuclear non-proliferation, and Jamie Wahls’ short story about chatbot romance.

Inline links: whether AI will take tech jobs, the different camps within AI safety, how long until Armageddon, what the history of debating animal intelligence tells us about AI intelligence, the technical aspects of regulating AI compute, how we (sort of) succeeded at nuclear non-proliferation, short story about chatbot romance

Who Predicted 2023?

March 05, 2024 · Original source

Thanks to everyone who participated in this contest. Extra thanks to Christian Williams from Metaculus and the Manifold team for getting their respective sites involved, to Jonathan Mann and Samotsvety for willingly submitting to testing, and to Eric Neyman for calculating the scores.

Backlinks

• “Through A Glass Darkly” In Asterisk Magazine
• People: J
• Who Predicted 2023?