Nikos
Article
Nikos is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between August 23, 2021 and April 25, 2023. The archive places it in contexts such as “Contact: Nikos, nikosbosse[at]gmail[dot]com”; “Nikos says it’s the crowds”. It most often appears alongside 1002 N St. NW, Washington DC, 20001, 1022 High St, Madison, 210 Ardmore Avenue.
Metadata
- Category: People
- Mention count: 2
- Issue count: 2
- First seen: August 23, 2021
- Last seen: April 25, 2023
Appears In
Related Pages
-
- 1002 N St. NW, Washington DC, 20001 (1 shared issues)
-
- 1022 High St, Madison (1 shared issues)
-
- 210 Ardmore Avenue (1 shared issues)
-
- 2519 E Sunrise Blvd (1 shared issues)
-
- 2800 S Estes St, Lakewood, CO 80227 (1 shared issues)
-
- 2e Carabinierslaan 128 (1 shared issues)
-
- 45th Infantry Division Museum (1 shared issues)
-
- 4th Ave Food Park (1 shared issues)
-
- A.D. (1 shared issues)
-
- AA (1 shared issues)
-
- Aachener Weiher (1 shared issues)
-
- Aarhus (1 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
GÖTTINGEN, GERMANY (RSVP) Contact: Nikos, nikosbosse[at]gmail[dot]com Time: 4:30 PM, Wednesday, September 15 Location: Schillerwiese, near Jérôme Pavillon Coordinates: https://w3w.co/smoothly.magma.wicket
Inline links: RSVP, https://w3w.co/smoothly.magma.wicket
Nikos Bosse compares Metaculus’ performance to its “competitor” Manifold Markets, and finds that overall Metaculus was more accurate:
Does this mean that forecasting tournaments are better than prediction markets? Some past studies have provided very tentative evidence in that direction, but this one probably doesn’t - many more people use Metaculus than Manifold, and Nikos didn’t control for number of forecasters.
Nikos also gives us this beautiful graph showing how forecasts on the two platforms track each other (click to expand):