Turchin
Article
Turchin is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between August 19, 2022 and December 09, 2022. The archive places it in contexts such as “I called this “a cyclic theory” to acknowledge my debt to Turchin”; “and I’m not entirely convinced Turchin’s work is different”. It most often appears alongside Guy Downs, 00s, 417th Marquess of Cornwallshireshire.
Metadata
- Category: People
- Mention count: 2
- Issue count: 2
- First seen: August 19, 2022
- Last seen: December 09, 2022
Appears In
Related Pages
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- Guy Downs (2 shared issues)
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- 00s (1 shared issues)
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- 417th Marquess of Cornwallshireshire (1 shared issues)
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- 70s (1 shared issues)
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- 80s (1 shared issues)
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- 90s (1 shared issues)
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- ACX (1 shared issues)
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- ACX (1 shared issues)
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- America (1 shared issues)
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- Andre Malraux (1 shared issues)
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- Andrew Yang (1 shared issues)
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- Anon (1 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
I called this “a cyclic theory” to acknowledge my debt to Turchin, but you may notice that as written it doesn’t repeat. Just because disco was cool in the 70s and uncool in the 80s doesn’t imply it will be cool in the 90s, uncool in the 00s, and so on forever. It will probably just stay uncool.
The connection with political polarization, though, does seem like it may be related - if the same elites ran both parties, it makes sense that their policies weren't that different. Of course, polarization very much is a cycle. Then again, the dominance of the Old Establishment wasn't eternal either, and the late 19th century seems like very much a period that also followed a different elite (the agrarian slaveholding elite, maybe corresponding to the 'Cavaliers') losing much of their elite status. So maybe there's something there - cycles of elite competition and all that. (Though searching for cycles in history is generally a matter of finding patterns in random noise, and I'm not entirely convinced Turchin's work is different.)