US states
Article
US states is a recurring place in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between July 07, 2021 and September 10, 2024. The archive places it in contexts such as “the US states which everyone knows had stricter lockdowns also had higher stringency scores”; “Models Of US States During Later Phases Of The Pandemic”; “w there must be thousands of US states”. It most often appears alongside Oxford, 10,000 AD, ABBA.
Metadata
- Category: Places
- Mention count: 2
- Issue count: 2
- First seen: July 07, 2021
- Last seen: September 10, 2024
Appears In
Related Pages
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- Oxford (2 shared issues)
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- 10,000 AD (1 shared issues)
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- ABBA (1 shared issues)
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- Agricultural Revolution (1 shared issues)
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- Agricultural Revolution (1 shared issues)
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- anthropic reasoning (1 shared issues)
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- anthropics (1 shared issues)
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- Arkansas (1 shared issues)
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- Australia (1 shared issues)
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- Belgium (1 shared issues)
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- Bentham’s Bulldog (1 shared issues)
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- Biblical Adam (1 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
Second, they've invented a "stringency index", where having each of the above adds a certain number of points to your "stringency score". The advantage of this is that it's a simple statistical test - you can just correlate "stringency score" with R values or cases or deaths or whatever. The disadvantage is that it's kind of made up - you're at the mercy of whatever the person designing the stringency score thinks is "common sense" about how many points everything should be worth. Most people using this method use the score developed by the Blavatnik School of Government at Oxford, and whenever I refer to "stringency score" without any other specifications, I'll mean that one. I looked it over and it roughly matches my common sense - the US states which everyone knows had stricter lockdowns also had higher stringency scores.
Inline links: the score developed by
But it’s also worth mentioning that US states that seemed kind of like Scandinavia (northern, forested, liberal) also had the lowest number of coronavirus cases in the continental US - #1 through #5 were Vermont, Oregon, Maine, Washington, and New Hampshire. And this isn’t clearly related to household size, so maybe something else is going on.
Inline links: isn’t clearly related to household size
Actual Evidence 3: Overly Simple Models Of US States During Later Phases Of The Pandemic
(except maybe the part about how you’re in a simulation, or the part about how there’s definitely a God who created an infinite number of universes, or how there must be thousands of US states, or how the world must end before 10,000 AD, or how the Biblical Adam could use his reproductive decisions as a shortcut to supercomputation, or several other things along these same lines. I actually hate anthropic reasoning. I just think that if you’re going to do it, you should do it right.)