Hacker News
Article
Hacker News is a recurring publication in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 6 times across 6 issues between July 23, 2021 and January 30, 2024. The archive places it in contexts such as “It recently went viral on Hacker News”; “The people on Hacker News were extremely kind to me”; “making the front page of Hacker News twice last week”. It most often appears alongside COVID, India, Metaculus.
Metadata
- Category: Publications
- Mention count: 6
- Issue count: 6
- First seen: July 23, 2021
- Last seen: January 30, 2024
Appears In
- Links For July
- Highlights From The Comments On Ivermectin
- Mantic Monday: Dogs In Wizard Hats
- Links For December
- Open Thread 306
- 24
Related Pages
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- COVID (2 shared issues)
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- India (2 shared issues)
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- Metaculus (2 shared issues)
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- Nate Silver (2 shared issues)
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- NYT (2 shared issues)
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- Omicron (2 shared issues)
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- Polymarket (2 shared issues)
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- PredictIt (2 shared issues)
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- Scott (2 shared issues)
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- Scott Aaronson (2 shared issues)
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- Trump (2 shared issues)
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- Twitter (2 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
13: One of the best parts of writing my lockdown effectiveness post was learning about Corona Game, an educational game where you try to set COVID policy for the Czech Republic. It recently went viral on Hacker News, and there were lots of great comments about it, including some from the authors. Related: Matt Shapiro (who comments here as PoliMath) adds to the discussion of costs and benefits of COVID lockdowns.
The people on Hacker News were extremely kind to me. csee wrote:
Inline links: on Hacker News, csee
3: Congratulations to Google’s new prediction market team for making the front page of Hacker News twice last week! A good demonstration that there’s a lot of interest in this field.
Inline links: the front page of Hacker News, twice
24: Ask Hacker News: Are most of us developers lying about how much work we do? “I have been working as a software developer for almost two decades. I have received multiple promotions. I make decent money, 3x - 4x my area's median salary, so I live a comfortable life. I have never been fired or unemployed for more than a few months total over my entire career. Through most of that time I have averaged roughly 5 - 10 hours of actual work a week…Are most of us secretly lying about how much we are working? Have I just been incredibly lucky and every boss I have had is too incompetent to notice?”
4: Since I was pretty gung ho about the Lumina tooth probiotic, I want to link the good criticism I found as a counterbalance (without necessarily endorsing it). Here’s someone from Hacker News doubting that it will colonize the mouth (or do much if it does) - though see comments below. Here’s an endodontist talking about how hard it is to study this or get any evidence that it works. Some other people pointed out that the graph on the post shows only 50% colonization after one year; Aaron says he has other information showing it eventually reaches near 100% colonization and he’ll get that to me soon. Some people were extremely skeptical about whether any of this was even real, so here’s an NYT article about the original Hillman research from 2004 that will hopefully put those doubts to rest. I agree that there isn’t proof of efficacy and it will be hard to prove that, but I think the suggestive evidence compares well to other supplements I respect (albeit not $20K supplements), and no one in the comments had a good story for why it would cause harm - so I chose to take the free sample. I’ll let you know if anything terrible happens to me! Till then, you can also check the prediction markets.
So one way to think of this is that non-market forecasting systems will outperform market systems when the markets are small and immature, but we might expect this to change as they get bigger. If that’s true, Johnson reminds us we’re not there yet. You can find further discussion of the article on r/slatestarcodex and Hacker News.
Inline links: r/slatestarcodex, Hacker News