Vibecession

Article

Vibecession is a recurring concept in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 3 times across 3 issues between December 19, 2025 and February 19, 2026. The archive places it in contexts such as “Earlier this month, we investigated the Vibecession : the economists’ claim that, despite everyone thinking the economy is bad, actually, the economy is good”; “the Vibecession began in 2022 as the sentiment–data divergence”; “Kyla has spiritual copyright on vibecession”. It most often appears alongside Boomers, COVID, Trump.

Metadata

  • Category: Concepts
  • Mention count: 3
  • Issue count: 3
  • First seen: December 19, 2025
  • Last seen: February 19, 2026

Appears In

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

December 19, 2025 · Original source
Earlier this month, we investigated the Vibecession: the economists’ claim that, despite everyone thinking the economy is bad, actually, the economy is good. We reached no firm conclusion, but in the process, we dug up this chart:
December 31, 2025 · Original source
[Original post: Vibecession - Much More Than You Wanted To Know]
1: When was the vibecession? 2: Is the vibecession just sublimating cultural complaints? 3: Discourse downstream of the Mike Green $140K poverty line post 4: What about other countries? 5: Comments on rent/housing 6: Comments on inflation 7: Comments on vibes 8: Other good comments 9: The parable of Calvin’s grandparents 10: Updates / conclusions
1: When Was The Vibecession? …
February 19, 2026 · Original source
Here, as with the Vibecession, I will try to keep one foot in the statistical story, one foot in the vibes, and hold myself lightly enough not to miss whatever evidence comes next.