Mantic Monday
Article
Mantic Monday is a recurring event in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between February 23, 2021 and August 01, 2021. The archive places it in contexts such as “I’m changing the name to Mantic Monday”; “On last week’s Mantic Monday, I complained that new prediction market Kalshi had some high fees”. It most often appears alongside ACX, Africa, Augur.
Metadata
- Category: Events
- Mention count: 2
- Issue count: 2
- First seen: February 23, 2021
- Last seen: August 01, 2021
Appears In
Related Pages
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- ACX (1 shared issues)
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- Africa (1 shared issues)
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- Augur (1 shared issues)
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- Bay Area (1 shared issues)
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- Bitcoin (1 shared issues)
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- Brazil (1 shared issues)
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- Bucky (1 shared issues)
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- China (1 shared issues)
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- Elena (1 shared issues)
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- Ethereum (1 shared issues)
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- France (1 shared issues)
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- Hypermind (1 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
Since this is getting broader than just Metaculus, I'm changing the name to Mantic Monday, after an obscure word for "oracular" (and changing the preview image to a mantis, since I don't know how else to visually represent "mantic". And posting it early Tuesday morning because I’m late).
4: On last week’s Mantic Monday, I complained that new prediction market Kalshi had some high fees. A representative of theirs contacted me to say that it’s more complicated. He writes: “We actually charge 7% of the variance (price times one minus the price) for each trade. We only charge this for takers, so effectively a single user would expect to pay 3.5% of the variance (since they pay 7% half the time).” I regret any misimpression my oversimplified numbers may have given.