Marine Le Pen

Article

Marine Le Pen is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between April 19, 2021 and April 18, 2022. The archive places it in contexts such as ""Predicting that Marine Le Pen would not be elected President of France""; “Predicting that Marine Le Pen would not be elected President of France”; “Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?“. It most often appears alongside Russia, Twitter, Resistance.

Metadata

• Category: People
• Mention count: 2
• Issue count: 2
• First seen: April 19, 2021
• Last seen: April 18, 2022

Appears In

• Mantic Monday: Grading My Trump Predictions
• 22

Related Pages

• • Russia (2 shared issues)
• • Twitter (2 shared issues)
• • [[entities/concept/resistance|#Resistance]] (1 shared issues)
• • 2019 government shut down (1 shared issues)
• • 538 (1 shared issues)
• • 538 (1 shared issues)
• • alt-right (1 shared issues)
• • Ann Arbor (1 shared issues)
• • Ann Coulter (1 shared issues)
• • Antifa (1 shared issues)
• • Are White Nationalists Turning On Trump? (1 shared issues)
• • Atlanta (1 shared issues)

External Links

• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221104130431/https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/1m-bet-rules
• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221129133112/https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaim-accepts-500000-challenge-on-covid-vaccine-safety-efficacy/
• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221224061743/https://www.skirsch.com/covid/SaarWilf.pdf
• • https://abc7news.com/post/graffiti-in-san-francisco-tagging-vandalism-street/13801629/
• • https://archive.ph/pY4gF#selection-663.103-683.190
• • https://web.archive.org/web/20230104080248/https://www.rootclaim.com/
• • https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/secrets-of-the-great-families
• • https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6763/marine-le-pen-french-president-in-2022/
• • https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/27/business/media/heather-cox-richardson-substack-boston-college.html
• • https://www.statista.com/chart/21581/public-opinion-on-easing-stay-at-home-restrictions/

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

Mantic Monday: Grading My Trump Predictions

April 19, 2021 · Original source

- Predicting that Marine Le Pen would not be elected President of France. A lot of people who overupdated on Trump and Brexit decided that polls didn't work anymore and the far-right would win no matter what the polls said, and they bought her up to a price much higher than her numbers justified. I decided Le Pen's polls were much worse than Trump or Brexit's and I was comfortable assuming the polls at least kind of reflected reality, so I bet against her and made about $100.

22

April 18, 2022 · Original source

2: Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?

Inline links: Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?

Backlinks

• 22
• Mantic Monday: Grading My Trump Predictions
• People: M