Matt Clancy
Article
Matt Clancy is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 3 times across 3 issues between September 22, 2022 and August 29, 2025. The archive places it in contexts such as “Matt Clancy published the idea first”; “Tamay Besiroglu vs. Matt Clancy”; “economist Matt Clancy estimates that each public and private R&D dollar yields roughly $5.50 in GDP”. It most often appears alongside Adam Neumann, Alex Roesch, Alignment Research Center.
Metadata
- Category: People
- Mention count: 3
- Issue count: 3
- First seen: September 22, 2022
- Last seen: August 29, 2025
Appears In
- Highlights From The Comments On Billionaire Replaceability
- “Through A Glass Darkly” In Asterisk Magazine
- Open Letter To The NIH
Related Pages
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- Adam Neumann (1 shared issues)
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- Alex Roesch (1 shared issues)
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- Alignment Research Center (1 shared issues)
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- Amazon (1 shared issues)
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- Amazon (1 shared issues)
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- American Association of Medical Colleges (1 shared issues)
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- AMZ (1 shared issues)
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- Andy Beal (1 shared issues)
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- Anne Margrethe Brigham (1 shared issues)
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- Apple (1 shared issues)
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- Apple (1 shared issues)
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- Asterisk (1 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
Ironically, I wrote a draft of a post on this, but Matt Clancy published the idea first. I don’t know what I expected.
Inline links: published the idea first
A Debate About AI And Explosive Growth: Tamay Besiroglu vs. Matt Clancy. Will AI be just another invention that is probably good for the economy but leaves GDP trajectories overall unchanged? Or will it create a technoeconomic singularity leading to “impossibly” fast economic growth? A good followup for my recent Davidson On Takeoff Speeds. I don’t think they emphasized enough the claim that the natural trajectory of growth had long been trending towards a singularity in the 2020s, we only started deviating from that natural trajectory since ~1960 or so, and that we’re just debating whether AI will restore the natural curve rather than whether it will do some bizarre unprecedented thing that we should have a high prior against.
The return on investment from research is compelling. Synthesizing the empirical literature, economist Matt Clancy estimates that each public and private R&D dollar yields roughly $5.50 in GDP—and about $11 when broader benefits are counted. Every dollar of NIH funding not deployed represents lost opportunities for breakthrough treatments, missed chances to train the next generation of scientists, and diminished returns on America's innovation ecosystem.