Netanyahu

Article

Netanyahu is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between April 26, 2021 and January 24, 2022. The archive places it in contexts such as “Netanyahu is still Israeli PM”. It most often appears alongside 538, ACX, Biden.

Metadata

• Category: People
• Mention count: 2
• Issue count: 2
• First seen: April 26, 2021
• Last seen: January 24, 2022

Appears In

• Mantic Monday: Predictions For 2021
• Grading My 2021 Predictions

Related Pages

• • 538 (2 shared issues)
• • ACX (2 shared issues)
• • Biden (2 shared issues)
• • Bitcoin (2 shared issues)
• • BTC (2 shared issues)
• • Taiwan conflict (2 shared issues)
• • COVID (2 shared issues)
• • Dow (2 shared issues)
• • Ethereum (2 shared issues)
• • Google (2 shared issues)
• • How Asia Works (2 shared issues)
• • Palestine conflict (2 shared issues)

External Links

• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221104130431/https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/1m-bet-rules
• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221129133112/https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaim-accepts-500000-challenge-on-covid-vaccine-safety-efficacy/
• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221224061743/https://www.skirsch.com/covid/SaarWilf.pdf
• • https://archive.ph/pY4gF#selection-663.103-683.190
• • https://web.archive.org/web/20230104080248/https://www.rootclaim.com/
• • https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2019/01/14/viktor-orbans-far-right-vision-for-europe
• • https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/27/business/media/heather-cox-richardson-substack-boston-college.html

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

Mantic Monday: Predictions For 2021

April 26, 2021 · Original source

US/WORLD 1. Biden approval rating (as per 538) is greater than 50%: 80% 2. Court packing is clearly going to happen (new justices don't have to be appointed by end of year): 5% 3. Yang is New York mayor: 80% 4. Newsom recalled as CA governor: 5% 5. At least $250 million in damage from BLM protests this year: 30% 6. Significant capital gains tax hike (above 30% for highest bracket): 20% 7. Trump is allowed back on Twitter: 20% 8. Tokyo Olympics happen on schedule: 70% 9. Major flare-up (significantly worse than anything in past 5 years) in Russia/Ukraine war: 20% 10. Major flare-up (significantly worse than anything in past 10 years) in Israel/Palestine conflict: 5% 11. Major flare-up (significantly worse than anything in past 50 years) in China/Taiwan conflict: 5% 12. Netanyahu is still Israeli PM: 40% 13. Prospera has at least 1000 residents: 30%

Grading My 2021 Predictions

January 24, 2022 · Original source

1. Biden approval rating (as per 538) is greater than fifty percent: 80% 2. Court packing is clearly going to happen (new justices don't have to be appointed by end of year): 5% 3. Yang is New York mayor: 80% 4. Newsom recalled as CA governor: 5% 5. At least $250 million in damage from BLM protests this year: 30% 6. Significant capital gains tax hike (above 30% for highest bracket): 20% 7. Trump is allowed back on Twitter: 20% 8. Tokyo Olympics happen on schedule: 70% 9. Major flare-up (significantly worse than anything in past 5 years) in Russia/Ukraine war: 20% 10. Major flare-up (significantly worse than anything in past 10 years) in Israel/Palestine conflict: 5% 11. Major flare-up (significantly worse than anything in past 50 years) in China/Taiwan conflict: 5% 12. Netanyahu is still Israeli PM: 40% 13. Prospera has at least 1000 residents: 30%

Backlinks

• Grading My 2021 Predictions
• Mantic Monday: Predictions For 2021
• People: N