Shayne
Article
Shayne is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between September 17, 2024 and January 20, 2025. The archive places it in contexts such as “Some of this is no doubt due to the hard work of Shayne and his team”; “the feds harassing Shayne”. It most often appears alongside Metaculus, Polymarket, ACX.
Metadata
- Category: People
- Mention count: 2
- Issue count: 2
- First seen: September 17, 2024
- Last seen: January 20, 2025
Appears In
Related Pages
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- Metaculus (2 shared issues)
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- Polymarket (2 shared issues)
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- ACX (1 shared issues)
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- AI (1 shared issues)
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- Area 51 (1 shared issues)
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- bird flu epidemic (1 shared issues)
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- bird flu epidemic (1 shared issues)
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- Catgate (1 shared issues)
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- CFTC (1 shared issues)
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- ChatGPT (1 shared issues)
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- ChatGPT (1 shared issues)
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- Congress (1 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
Some of this is no doubt due to the hard work of Shayne and his team improving the site. But let’s be honest. It’s mostly because people really want to bet money on Trump/Harris 2024. The presidential market has a total volume of $910 million, far above eg markets about the Superbowl ($50 million), the World Series ($5 million), and the bird flu epidemic ($141,000).
Polymarket doesn’t charge fees, and [CEO Shayne] Coplan remains elusive about how the platform will generate revenues, but hints that fees are coming. “We're focused on growing the marketplace right now and providing the best user experience,” he says. “We'll focus on monetization later.”
This year I had hoped to arrange some kind of fair comparison with Polymarket so I could prove my thesis that it usually underperforms Metaculus - but with all the excitement of the election and the feds harassing Shayne we never got around to making it work.
Inline links: the feds harassing Shayne