Google Imagen

Article

Google Imagen is a recurring brand in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between September 12, 2022 and July 08, 2025. The archive places it in contexts such as “Google Imagen announced May 2022”; “In September 2022, I got some good results from Google Imagen”; “when Google Imagen produced the following”. It most often appears alongside DALL-E2, Gary Marcus, GPT.

Metadata

• Category: Brands
• Mention count: 2
• Issue count: 2
• First seen: September 12, 2022
• Last seen: July 08, 2025

Appears In

• I Won My Three Year AI Progress Bet In Three Months
• Now I Really Won That AI Bet

Related Pages

• • DALL-E2 (2 shared issues)
• • Gary Marcus (2 shared issues)
• • GPT (2 shared issues)
• • MidJourney (2 shared issues)
• • Vitor (2 shared issues)
• • 4o (1 shared issues)
• • ACX Prediction Contest (1 shared issues)
• • AI (1 shared issues)
• • Askwho (1 shared issues)
• • Bayesian Conspiracy Discord (1 shared issues)
• • ChatGPT 4o (1 shared issues)
• • DALL-E3 (1 shared issues)

External Links

• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221104130431/https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/1m-bet-rules
• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221129133112/https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaim-accepts-500000-challenge-on-covid-vaccine-safety-efficacy/
• • http://web.archive.org/web/20221224061743/https://www.skirsch.com/covid/SaarWilf.pdf
• • https://archive.ph/pY4gF#selection-663.103-683.190
• • https://web.archive.org/web/20230104080248/https://www.rootclaim.com/
• • https://what3words.com/guitars.record.caps
• • https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/secrets-of-the-great-families
• • https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/27/business/media/heather-cox-richardson-substack-boston-college.html

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

I Won My Three Year AI Progress Bet In Three Months

September 12, 2022 · Original source

Google Imagen announced May 2022.

Inline links: announced

Imagen: 3/5

Imagen got 3/5 and so I would say it wins the bet. There was one snafu, which was that for trust-and-safety reasons, Imagen will not represent the human form (maybe it’s a good Muslim?) We got around this by replacing all humans in the prompts with robots. It still registered surprisingly many trust-and-safety violations for these innocuous prompts, but here’s what we got (slightly edited to always include the best picture of 10):

Now I Really Won That AI Bet

July 08, 2025 · Original source

In September 2022, I got some good results from Google Imagen and announced I had won the three-year bet in three months. Commenters yelled at me, saying that Imagen still hadn’t gotten them quite right and my victory declaration was premature. The argument blew up enough that Edwin Chen of Surge, an “RLHF and human LLM evaluation platform”, stepped in and asked his professional AI data labelling team. Their verdict was clear: the AI was bad and I was wrong. Rather than embarrass myself further, I agreed to wait out the full length of the bet and re-evaluate in June 2025.

Inline links: announced I had won the three-year bet in three months, Their verdict was clear

Three months later, I declared premature victory when Google Imagen produced the following:

User askwho on the Bayesian Conspiracy Discord claimed that Google Imagen passed the test in September 2024 (he said Imagen 2, but based on the timing it may have been Imagen 3). But he didn’t post it publicly and couldn’t remember all details, so I’ll evaluate this related claim, also about Imagen 3, from December:

Inline links: askwho, passed the test, this related claim

Backlinks

• Brands
• DALL-E2
• I Won My Three Year AI Progress Bet In Three Months
• MidJourney
• Now I Really Won That AI Bet
• Publications: P