Nuño Sempere
Article
Nuño Sempere is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 6 times across 6 issues between December 28, 2021 and April 01, 2026. The archive places it in contexts such as “Nuño Sempere, $10,000, to fund his continued work on https://metaforecast.org/ and the @metaforecast bot”; “Contact: Nuño Sempere”; “Thanks to Nuño Sempere … for help and clarification”. It most often appears alongside Arizona, Australia, California.
Metadata
- Category: People
- Mention count: 6
- Issue count: 6
- First seen: December 28, 2021
- Last seen: April 01, 2026
Appears In
- ACX Grants Results
- Spring Meetups Everywhere 2024
- H5N1: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
- Meetups Everywhere Spring 2025: Times & Places
- The Pentagon Threatens Anthropic
- Meetups Everywhere Spring 2026: Times & Places
Related Pages
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- Arizona (4 shared issues)
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- Australia (4 shared issues)
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- California (4 shared issues)
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- Hong Kong (4 shared issues)
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- Michigan (4 shared issues)
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- New York City (4 shared issues)
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- Russia (4 shared issues)
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- Scott (4 shared issues)
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- Seattle (4 shared issues)
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- 200 Degrees (3 shared issues)
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- Aaron Kaufman (3 shared issues)
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- ACX (3 shared issues)
External Links
None.
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
Nuño Sempere, $10,000, to fund his continued work on https://metaforecast.org/ and the @metaforecast bot. The website aims to be an easy way to search for predictions on a given topic; the bot aims to predict, resolve, and tally predictions and bets made by other people. People actually in the forecasting space (unlike me, who is just a poseur) who I talked to described really appreciating Nuño's work, and thought this was a valuable extension to the Internet's general forecasting infrastructure. Nuño is also a researcher at the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute and the author of a monthly forecasting/prediction markets newsletter.
ASUNCIÓN Contact: Nuño Sempere Contact Info: nuno[dot]semperelh[at]protonmail[dot]com Time: Saturday, April 13th, 6:00 PM Location: Mburicao; RSVP to nuno.semperelh[at]protonmail[dot]com at least one hour beforehand to get the precise location Coordinates: https://plus.codes/5864P92W+9V Notes: Meetup is at my apartment. RSVP to nuno.semperelh[at]protonmail[dot]com to get the precise location
Inline links: https://plus.codes/5864P92W+9V
Thanks to Nuño Sempere and Sentinel for help and clarification. Sentinel is an organization that forecasts and responds to global catastrophes; you can find their updates, including on H5N1, here. As usual, any errors are mine alone.
Contact: Nuño Sempere Contact Info: nuno[period]semperelh[a t]protonmail[period]com Time: Wednesday, April 09th, 12:00 AM Location: Empanadería Sabores de Mi Tierra, 25 De Mayo 3789, Asunción 001229. Coordinates: https://plus.codes/5864PC22+39 Notes: RSVP to my email appreciated, so that I get a sense of how many people are coming, but not required.
Inline links: https://plus.codes/5864PC22+39
Superforecaster Nuño Sempere, maybe as part of his work with Sentinel. He seems to think higher chance of supply chain risk than others, but that supply chain risk might be handled in a way that only affects DoD contracts themselves, which wouldn’t be so bad. I haven’t heard anyone else make this distinction. Tweet here, full document here. And big praise to most other AI companies, including Anthropic’s competitors, for standing up for them and for the AI industry more broadly:
Nuño Sempere suggests that it might only apply to the specific contracts involving the DoD, which would still be bad but not catastrophic.
Contact: Nuño Sempere Contact Info: nuno[.]semperelh[@]protonmail[.]com Time: Thursday, April 2nd, 3:00 PM Location: West Coffee Julio Correa Coordinates: https://plus.codes/5864PCGM+34
Inline links: https://plus.codes/5864PCGM+34