Stephen
Article
Stephen is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between November 07, 2023 and March 03, 2026. The archive places it in contexts such as “…or maybe I’m being unfair to Stephen. Here Lone Ranger demonstrates a different reason to stick with coarse-grained heuristics”; “…or maybe I’m being unfair to Stephen”; “Stephen’s making MNX with his own money and a team of 1-2 people”. It most often appears alongside America, Google, United States.
Metadata
- Category: People
- Mention count: 2
- Issue count: 2
- First seen: November 07, 2023
- Last seen: March 03, 2026
Appears In
Related Pages
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- America (2 shared issues)
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- Google (2 shared issues)
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- United States (2 shared issues)
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- US (2 shared issues)
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- 2024 US election (1 shared issues)
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- 2026 elections (1 shared issues)
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- Aceso Under Glass (1 shared issues)
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- ACX Grant (1 shared issues)
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- Agent Economy Of The Future (1 shared issues)
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- Alan Cole (1 shared issues)
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- Alireza Arafi (1 shared issues)
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- Amazon (1 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
Stephen Pimental writes:
Inline links: writes
Sorry, I’m going to do the jerk thing here and accuse Stephen of being wrong about his own internal processes.
How did Stephen come to value bodily integrity, as opposed to all the other possible things you can value like wearing green clothes, or having a prime number of dollars in your bank account? Surely the answer is something like “most violations of bodily integrity are bad”. Getting stabbed is bad. Having someone forcibly sterilize you is bad. Getting a disease that makes your internal organs rot away is bad. “Value bodily integrity” is a useful heuristic for avoiding bad things.
Stephen Grugett and Ian Philips of Manifold Markets have announced a new project, MNX.
Inline links: MNX
(the other technological sea change is that this is possible at all. Five years ago, cryptocurrency prediction markets were too complicated. In the late 2010s, a group called Augur raised $5 million for the project but never managed to create usable software. FTX flirted with prediction-like contracts but never got them off the ground even with all their billions. Polymarket was the first to really solve this, making $10 billion in the process, but even they were barely usable in the early days. But Stephen’s making MNX with his own money and a team of 1-2 people. He benefits partly from the vibecoding revolution, and partly from all of the billions of dollars spent on improving cryptocurrency rails - MNX uses the stablecoin USDC).