Zvi Mowshowitz
Article
Zvi Mowshowitz is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 5 times across 5 issues between February 05, 2021 and May 08, 2024. The archive places it in contexts such as ""Zvi Mowshowitz is the first name to come to mind""; “Zvi Mowshowitz , rationalist/blogger”; “54th: Zvi Mowshowitz. Zvi is a former trader and professional Magic player who blogs at Don’t Worry About The Vase”. It most often appears alongside Biden, Manifold, Metaculus.
Metadata
- Category: People
- Mention count: 5
- Issue count: 5
- First seen: February 05, 2021
- Last seen: May 08, 2024
Appears In
Related Pages
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- Biden (3 shared issues)
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- Manifold (3 shared issues)
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- Metaculus (3 shared issues)
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- Richard Hanania (3 shared issues)
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- Twitter (3 shared issues)
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- CFTC (2 shared issues)
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- CSPI (2 shared issues)
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- Eliezer Yudkowsky (2 shared issues)
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- facebook (2 shared issues)
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- Forecasting Research Institute (2 shared issues)
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- Google (2 shared issues)
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- Insight Prediction (2 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
I can't tell you how many times over the past year all the experts, the CDC, the WHO, the New York Times, et cetera, have said something (or been silent about something in a suggestive way), and then some blogger I trusted said the opposite, and the blogger turned out to be right. I realize this kind of thing is vulnerable to selection bias, but it's been the same couple of bloggers throughout, people who I already trusted and already suspected might be better than the experts in a lot of ways. Zvi Mowshowitz is the first name to come to mind, though there are many others.
Inline links: said the opposite, Zvi Mowshowitz
54th: Zvi Mowshowitz. Zvi is a former trader and professional Magic player who blogs at Don’t Worry About The Vase. Since he’s one of the only other bloggers interested in forecasting, I often end up pitted against him in forecasting competitions. I always lose, and this won’t be the year that breaks my streak.
Inline links: Don’t Worry About The Vase
Local parents (including Malcolm and Simone Collins, Zvi Mowshowitz, and Byrne Hobart) discuss parenting and pronatalism (unless I missed it, there was no attempt to connect this to prediction markets, but it was a great talk)
Inline links: discuss parenting and pronatalism
But Zvi Mowshowitz (summary article in Asterisk, long FAQ on his blog) has looked at it more closely and found:
Inline links: Zvi Mowshowitz, summary article in