Cold Takes

Article

Cold Takes is a recurring publication in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between July 23, 2021 and March 22, 2022. The archive places it in contexts such as “Holden Karnofsky … now has a blog, Cold Takes”; “Here’s a chart from Cold Takes ’ “ Where’s Today’s Beethoven? ”“. It most often appears alongside Holden Karnofsky, Michigan, 60s and 70s.

Metadata

  • Category: Publications
  • Mention count: 2
  • Issue count: 2
  • First seen: July 23, 2021
  • Last seen: March 22, 2022

Appears In

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

July 23, 2021 · Original source
19: Holden Karnofsky, co-founder of GiveWell and CEO of the Open Philanthropy Project, now has a blog, Cold Takes, on “futurism, macrohistory, applied epistemology and ethics, [and] sometimes sports”. Getting to hear from Holden is always a privilege, usually one reserved for people at effective altruism organizations or conferences, and it’s exciting to see he’ll be sharing his thoughts more widely.
March 22, 2022 · Original source
If you disagree, I’ll certainly admit that finding irrefutable evidence for a decline of genius is difficult—intellectual contributions are extremely hard to quantify, the definition of genius is always up for debate, and any discussion will necessarily elide all sorts of points and counterpoints. But the numbers, at least at first glance, seem to support the anecdotal. Here’s a chart from Cold Takes’ “Where’s Today’s Beethoven?” Below, we can see the number of acclaimed scientists (in blue) and artists (in red), divided by the effective population (total human population with the education and access to contribute to these fields).