Artificial General Intelligence
Article
Artificial General Intelligence is a recurring concept in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between July 27, 2021 and August 04, 2022. The archive places it in contexts such as “Almost all of the progress in artificial intelligence to date has little to do with the imagined Artificial General Intelligence”; “Metaculus predicts Artificial General Intelligence (by their specific definition)“. It most often appears alongside China, Acemoglu, AGI.
Metadata
- Category: Concepts
- Mention count: 2
- Issue count: 2
- First seen: July 27, 2021
- Last seen: August 04, 2022
Appears In
- Contra Acemoglu On…Oh God, We’re Doing This Again, Aren’t We?
- Slightly Against Underpopulation Worries
Related Pages
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- China (2 shared issues)
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- Acemoglu (1 shared issues)
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- AGI (1 shared issues)
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- AI (1 shared issues)
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- America (1 shared issues)
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- Amish (1 shared issues)
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- Asilomar Conference (1 shared issues)
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- Bill Gates (1 shared issues)
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- Brazil (1 shared issues)
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- climate change (1 shared issues)
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- Daron Acemoglu (1 shared issues)
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- Dow (1 shared issues)
External Links
Source Context
Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.
Almost all of the progress in artificial intelligence to date has little to do with the imagined Artificial General Intelligence; instead, it has concentrated on narrow tasks. AI capabilities do not involve anything close to true reasoning. Still, the effects can be pernicious.
Metaculus predicts Artificial General Intelligence (by their specific definition, which you can check here) in 2029, and superintelligence (see definition here) 41 months (ie 3.5 years) after that. This is why I even though I love predictions, I couldn’t bring myself to participate in the “predict what the world will be like in 2050!” contest that was going around this part of the blogosphere recently. Even 2050 is starting not to seem like a very real year. Don’t get me wrong, I think there’s even odds it happens, I would just feel silly predicting something like “US politics will center around this set of issues” and then 2050 comes along and things are more like “the cloud of microscopic death robots that used to be our solar system has expanded as far as Sirius B”.
Inline links: check here, here