Astral Codex Ten

MNX

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MNX

Article

MNX is a recurring organization in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between March 02, 2026 and March 03, 2026. The archive places it in contexts such as “his latest project: MNX, “a decentralized futures exchange targeting sophisticated traders and focused on the AI economy””; “Stephen Grugett and Ian Philips of Manifold Markets have announced a new project, MNX”; “Stephen’s making MNX with his own money and a team of 1-2 people”. It most often appears alongside Manifold Markets, Stephen Grugett, 2024 US election.

Metadata

  • Category: Organizations
  • Mention count: 2
  • Issue count: 2
  • First seen: March 02, 2026
  • Last seen: March 03, 2026

Appears In

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

Open Thread 423
March 02, 2026 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day
March 03, 2026 · Original source
(the other technological sea change is that this is possible at all. Five years ago, cryptocurrency prediction markets were too complicated. In the late 2010s, a group called Augur raised $5 million for the project but never managed to create usable software. FTX flirted with prediction-like contracts but never got them off the ground even with all their billions. Polymarket was the first to really solve this, making $10 billion in the process, but even they were barely usable in the early days. But Stephen’s making MNX with his own money and a team of 1-2 people. He benefits partly from the vibecoding revolution, and partly from all of the billions of dollars spent on improving cryptocurrency rails - MNX uses the stablecoin USDC).