Astral Codex Ten

Zvi

7 min read

Zvi

Article

Zvi is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 30 times across 30 issues between February 05, 2021 and February 05, 2026. The archive places it in contexts such as “One, Zvi would learn to play politics as adroitly as the current Director”; “Two, Zvi would offend enough people that they would pressure Biden to fire him”; “Obviously the best case scenario would be that Zvi or whoever was the expert”. It most often appears alongside Metaculus, Google, Twitter.

Metadata

  • Category: People
  • Mention count: 30
  • Issue count: 30
  • First seen: February 05, 2021
  • Last seen: February 05, 2026

Appears In

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

WebMD, And The Tragedy Of Legible Expertise
February 05, 2021 · Original source
Joe Biden can't appoint Zvi as CDC Director, at least not usefully. If Biden appointed Zvi as Director one of three things would happen. One, Zvi would learn to play politics as adroitly as the current Director, and lose his advantage over her. Two, Zvi would offend enough people that they would pressure Biden to fire him. Or three, Zvi would offend people, Biden would offend people by not firing Zvi, and eventually Biden would fall beneath some necessary threshold of support and not be able to be an effective President. I'm not saying that just appointing Zvi would inevitably get Biden impeached. I'm saying Biden has a certain amount of slack, given how many people he needs to keep happy in order to govern effectively, and appointing Zvi as CDC Director would use up so much of that slack that he couldn't do other equally useful things later without becoming ineffective and likely to lose reelection.
Journalism and Legible Expertise
February 07, 2021 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Mantic Monday: Judging April COVID Predictions
February 23, 2021 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Mantic Monday: Scoring Rule Controversy
March 01, 2021 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
When Will The FDA Approve Paxlovid?
November 23, 2021 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Open Thread 203
December 19, 2021 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Open Thread 205
January 03, 2022 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Grading My 2021 Predictions
January 24, 2022 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Predictions For 2022
February 01, 2022 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Mantic Monday: Ukraine Cube Manifold
February 14, 2022 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Ukraine Warcasting
March 01, 2022 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Your Book Review: The Internationalists
July 01, 2022 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Highlights From The Comments On Criticism Of Criticism Of Criticism
July 28, 2022 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
2023 Prediction Contest
December 16, 2022 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Prediction Market FAQ
December 20, 2022 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Open Thread 257
January 01, 2023 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Links For March 2023
March 10, 2023 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
23
August 28, 2023 · Original source
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Open Thread 293
September 11, 2023 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
23
December 05, 2023 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Book Review: Cyropaedia
January 10, 2024 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Links For February 2024
February 29, 2024 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Zvi on California's AI Bill
May 08, 2024 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Links for May 2024
May 29, 2024 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Links For December 2024
December 17, 2024 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Deliberative Alignment, And The Spec
February 12, 2025 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Open Thread 383
May 26, 2025 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Links For September 2025
September 04, 2025 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Open Thread 418
January 26, 2026 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.
Links For February 2026
February 05, 2026 · Original source
No direct inline source block was recovered for this mention.