2023 Prediction Contest

Article

2023 Prediction Contest is a recurring event in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 2 times across 2 issues between January 01, 2023 and January 08, 2023. The archive places it in contexts such as “You have about one more week to get your first-round answers in for the 2023 Prediction Contest”; “your last chance to submit guesses to the 2023 Prediction Contest in Blind Mode”. It most often appears alongside ACX, @dropbella, ACX Survey.

Metadata

• Category: Events
• Mention count: 2
• Issue count: 2
• First seen: January 01, 2023
• Last seen: January 08, 2023

Appears In

• Open Thread 257
• Open Thread 258

Related Pages

• • ACX (2 shared issues)
• • @dropbella (1 shared issues)
• • ACX Survey (1 shared issues)
• • Adam Strandberg (1 shared issues)
• • Albion’s Seed (1 shared issues)
• • ALS (1 shared issues)
• • Austin (1 shared issues)
• • Bay Area House Party (1 shared issues)
• • blockchain (1 shared issues)
• • Bob (1 shared issues)
• • Bob English (1 shared issues)
• • bucket shops (1 shared issues)

External Links

• • https://archive.nytimes.com/well.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/02/03/new-york-attorney-general-targets-supplements-at-major-retailers/
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/another-bay-area-house-party
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-arabian-nights
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-the-cult-of-smart#comment-1292538
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/book-review-which-country-has-the
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/classifieds-thread-12022/comment/4732494
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/classifieds-thread-12022/comment/4740093
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-smith-on-jewish-selective
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/even-more-bay-area-house-party
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/how-trustworthy-are-supplements/comment/9510016
• • https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/how-trustworthy-are-supplements/comment/9512526

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

Open Thread 257

January 01, 2023 · Original source

5: You have about one more week to get your first-round answers in for the 2023 Prediction Contest. Also, I think it would be fun (not necessarily scientific, but fun) to highlight and compare the answers of various famous people. If you’re a “famous” person (I’m thinking eg Zvi or Richard Hanania, not Joe Biden) who has already entered or is interested in entering, please send me an email so we can discuss whether it’s okay for me to do that (by default I won’t).

Inline links: 2023 Prediction Contest

Open Thread 258

January 08, 2023 · Original source

2: This is your last chance to submit guesses to the 2023 Prediction Contest in Blind Mode, or to resubmit more up-to-date predictions if you submitted earlier and really want to do that (I will try to remove predictions about things that changed too much over the past few weeks, so don’t feel obligated).

Inline links: the 2023 Prediction Contest

Backlinks

• ACX Survey
• ALS
• Bay Area House Party
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• Open Thread 258
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