Astral Codex Ten

ALLFED

4 min read

ALLFED

Article

ALLFED is a recurring organization in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 4 times across 4 issues between December 28, 2021 and June 18, 2025. The archive places it in contexts such as “Morgan Rivers , $30,000, to help ALLFED improve modeling of food security during global catastrophes”; “ALLFED tries to develop solutions”; “Support For ALLFED’s Disaster Modeling”. It most often appears alongside 1DaySooner, ACX, African Swine Fever.

Metadata

  • Category: Organizations
  • Mention count: 4
  • Issue count: 4
  • First seen: December 28, 2021
  • Last seen: June 18, 2025

Appears In

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

ACX Grants Results
December 28, 2021 · Original source
Morgan Rivers, $30,000, to help ALLFED improve modeling of food security during global catastrophes. ALLFED studies the effects of major disasters - nuclear wars, pandemics, economic collapses - on the food supply. If the disaster blotted out the sun or paralyzed the technological-economic infrastructure underpinning food production and delivery, millions more could die of starvation. ALLFED tries to develop solutions, from high-tech stuff like "produc[ing] high quality protein from natural gas and sugar from forest biomass" and low-tech stuff like relocating crops farming and eating more seaweed. Their current project is to update the National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment program, which is "used widely to assess and prioritize responses to disasters globally", to better model food shocks - raising awareness and making it easier for large organizations to think about them. ALLFED is also looking for more funding for many other projects.
Inline links: Morgan Rivers, ALLFED
ACX Grants: Project Updates
November 04, 2022 · Original source
21: Support For ALLFED’s Disaster Modeling (?/10) They have asked me not to discuss their progress yet.
Issue Two Of Asterisk
March 08, 2023 · Original source
Plus superforecaster Juan Cambeiro on predicting pandemics, Mike Hinge on feeding the world through nuclear/volcanic winter (his organization, ALLFED, got an ACX grant last year), Dynomight on how a big NIH alcohol study went wrong (hopefully you already read this on his excellent blog), Jordan Hampton with the obligatory wild animal suffering article, Matt Reynolds on oral rehydration therapy, and more.
Inline links: predicting pandemics, feeding the world through nuclear/volcanic winter, an ACX grant, how a big NIH alcohol study went wrong, excellent blog, the obligatory wild animal suffering article, on oral rehydration therapy
ACX Grants 1-3 Year Updates
June 18, 2025 · Original source
21: Support For ALLFED’s Disaster Modeling
No response. More information about ALLFED as a whole and their progress here.
Inline links: here