Astral Codex Ten

Anatoly Karlin

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Anatoly Karlin

Article

Anatoly Karlin is a recurring person in the Astral Codex Ten archive, appearing 5 times across 5 issues between October 13, 2021 and April 22, 2025. The archive places it in contexts such as “Anatoly Karlin writes”; “Russian nationalist blogger Anatoly Karlin on why Putin wants to invade Ukraine”; “Anatoly Karlin: B- Anatoly is a Russian nationalist who wrote Regathering Of The Russian Lands”. It most often appears alongside China, Biden, California.

Metadata

  • Category: People
  • Mention count: 5
  • Issue count: 5
  • First seen: October 13, 2021
  • Last seen: April 22, 2025

Appears In

Source Context

Recovered passages from the original issue text. When the raw archive preserved outbound links inside the source passage, they are listed directly under the quote.

Highlights From The Comments On Kids And Climate Change
October 13, 2021 · Original source
Anatoly Karlin writes:
Inline links: writes
Links For February
February 22, 2022 · Original source
29: Russian nationalist blogger Anatoly Karlin on why Putin wants to invade Ukraine. Short version: partly emotional nationalism, but partly rational calculation that as Russia tries to leave the Western way of life and go it alone in some kind of cultural/economic sense, it will have better odds of self-sufficiency with an extra 35 million people in its sphere of influence. Related, and excellent: how Russia thought about the recent protests in Kazakhstan.
Inline links: why Putin wants to invade Ukraine, how Russia thought about the recent protests in Kazakhstan
Ukraine Warcasting
March 01, 2022 · Original source
Maybe the lesson here is that expertise (at least in military matters) is real, but extremely circumscribed. Luttwak is exactly the sort of guy who I expect to know how many troops it takes to invade a country, but I’m not sure why he should be an expert in Putin’s psychology and maybe he was so reliant on his military expertise that he made a (false) assumption of Putin’s rationality in order to be able to carelessly jump from “I know a lot about military strategy” to “I can predict what Putin will do”. Anatoly Karlin: B- Anatoly is a Russian nationalist who wrote Regathering Of The Russian Lands, which has become the canonical (in these circles) essay for understanding how Putin thinks.
Inline links: Regathering Of The Russian Lands
Anatoly is a Russian nationalist who wrote Regathering Of The Russian Lands, which has become the canonical (in these circles) essay for understanding how Putin thinks. #prediction","username":"akarlin0","name":"Anatoly Karlin (????,????)","profile_image_url":"","date":"Wed Feb 23 22:02:20 +0000 2022","photos":[],"quoted_tweet":{},"reply_count":0,"retweet_count":97,"like_count":649,"impression_count":0,"expanded_url":{},"video_url":null,"belowTheFold":true}" data-component-name="Twitter2ToDOM"> He got the opposite pattern from Luttwak: totally right about what Putin would do, but his predictions about weak Ukrainian resistance are on the verge of being disproven.
Inline links: Regathering Of The Russian Lands
Open Thread 214
March 07, 2022 · Original source
3: On my previous post, Ukraine Warcasting, I asked people for the names of anyone who had successfully predicted both the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the strong Ukrainian resistance, and said I’d signal-boost them if they existed. Someone brought up a Hungarian YouTuber named Adam Something, who I am dutifully signal-boosting. Another commenter pointed out that Anatoly Karlin was wrong before he was right. Many such cases!
Inline links: brought up, dutifully signal-boosting, was wrong before he was right
Links For April 2025
April 22, 2025 · Original source
3: Anatoly Karlin highlights (X) a section from Walter Isaacson’s Musk biography claiming that his father Errol, previously a successful engineer, suddenly became a crackpot in his forties:
Inline links: Anatoly Karlin highlights (X)